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Long Bet 1: Kurzweil vs Kapor

Bet1

Duration 27 years (02002-02029)

“By 2029 no computer - or “machine intelligence” - will have passed the Turing Test.”

Predictor
Mitchell Kapor

Challenger
Ray Kurzweil

Stakes $20,000
will go to The Electronic Frontier Foundation if Kapor wins,
or The Kurzweil Foundation if Kurzweil wins.
http://www.longbets.org/1

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Turing Test: Computer Programs fooled 25% of people into thinking that they were humans

http://technology.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/tech_and_web/article4934858.ece

Machines Edge Closer To Imitating Human Communication
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/10/081013112148.htm

30% is the threshold for passing the Turing Test.

1 year ago

October 14, 2008
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